There's a new poll about the public's views on the U.S. economy out from the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press. They ask a lot of questions about economic problems facing the nation and who's at fault -- it's interesting, read it -- but one of the more surprising results comes from a question asking people which country they think is the world's leading economic power.
Here's how they answer:
The United States 41%
China 30%
Japan 10%
The countries of the European Union 9%
Don't know 10%
China? 30% of people think China? Wow. I know China gets a lot of press and all, but still, it's a developing country. Consider this (thanks for the chart help, Feilding!):
Of course, there are a lot of ways to interpret "economic power." China does have quite a bit of weight to throw around when it comes to, say, commodities prices. Still, my intuition was telling me that 30% of people couldn't possibly put China at the top of the list for overall economic power.
So I called Pew up and asked what, exactly, they'd asked these people. Here's the question verbatim:
Today, which ONE of the following do you think is the world's leading economic power?The United States
China
Japan
The countries of the European Union
Now, I know the folks over at Pew are real pros -- the survey question they sent me mentioned that the order of the four options was randomized -- but, nonetheless, I felt somewhat vindicated. If people hadn't been given the option of China, they surely wouldn't have mentioned it so often, right?
I decided to go outside and talk to some people to test my theory. In my question, I simply asked which country is the world's leading economic power. No multiple choice. Here's what people had to say:
Yesterday, I gave you a cheat sheet about what was in the video. Today you actually have to watch (I'm really sorry about the ad -- I don't put that in there). Let's just say there's a reason the people at Pew do the polling, and I sit here and write about it.
这是一项皮尤人民与新闻研究中心关于美国经济所做的民意调查。他们询问了很多问题,例如国家所面对的经济问题,以及是谁的过错等——回答都非常有趣——但是这个问题的统计结果出乎我们的意料:你们觉得哪个国家是世界经济的领头羊?
以下是问题的答案:
美国:41%
中国:30%
日本:10%
欧盟:9%
不知道:10%
中国?30%的人认为是中国?噢。我认为中国得到了很多的舆论好评,但是尽管如此,它依旧是一个发展中国家。看看这个表格:
![]()
当然,还有很多方法来定义“经济强国”。要冠有这个名号,中国必须扔掉一系列的负担,比如说,商品价格。还有,我的直觉告诉我,如果问的是整体经济实力,中国的排名不会如此靠前。
所以,我想询问皮尤中心,确切地说,你们到底是怎么询问被调查对象的呢?这是询问的原始问题:
你认为在今天以下哪个国家是世界经济的领头羊?
美国
中国
日本
欧盟
现在,我想皮尤中心调查的对象们都会这样认为——他们向我提出的这个调查问题需要在这几个给出的答案里面选择——但是,尽管如此,我还是感到有一些明了了。如果中心并没有提供“中国”这个选项,人们一般情况下都不会想到它,不是吗?
我决定向大家公布并测试我的这个理论。在我的问题里面,我只是简单的提问哪个国家是世界经济的领头羊。没有选项。这是人们的回答:
很遗憾
因为网络问题,我没有看到这个视频。
感兴趣的可以点击原文网站
昨天的视频我跟大家开了个小玩笑。今天你可以清楚地欣赏视频了(对于插播的广告我非常抱歉——这可不是我加进去的)。皮尤调查的结果总是由一定原因引起,而我的观点如上所述。
评论:
美国经济衰退的真正原因
可利用能源储量与资金流向背道而驰。在现代世界经济里,能源才是决定因素,而不是黄金这个赋予纸币价值的东西。纸币相当于一份信托书,上面写道:我可以创造能源。所有人都同意这个观点,因此纸币的价值由此而来。
这不是一种巧合:20世纪90年代经济蓬勃发展的时候,能源的价值最低。美元对石油和其他能源的购买力强于历史其它时期。由于世界性的能源短缺,主要是石油短缺,美国不得不花费越来越多的“信托书”(纸币)来购买所需的能源。每一个美国人都应该认真地思索这一点,要明白高成本的能源导致了经济的衰退。
相比2000年,随着全球性经济可利用石油储备以一年3%的速度减少,所有能源的价格都增长了数倍。没有谁能改变这个趋势,因为世界上大部分的油田都已经被发现,这些类型的储备田的发现率从1963年开始就已然下滑。廉价石油是国家几百年来发展的最重要的能量来源,但这个时代已经一去不复返了。正因如此,美国由于暴涨的能源价格开始落入长期经济衰退的泥塘。如果不迅速的采取大规模的行动来应付廉价石油逐渐消失的现状,那么美国将会全面坠入经济衰退的深渊不得自拔。美国,警醒吧!这并不是危言耸听。这就是美国经济所面临的残酷事实。
因为能源是所有现代经济发展的基石,所以自然而然,廉价的、取之不尽的、无污染的太阳能将是美国和世界各国金融体系得以维持的依赖。在经济衰退的阴影席卷全球之前,我们只有5到8年的时间把这个构想转化为现实。
尽可能迅速的切实的太阳能开发是解决美国经济不景气问题的唯一的根本的办法,也是解决世界能源问题的唯一的安全、长期的办法。
依靠太阳能来产生电力是未来五十年内解决问题的永久的长期的方法,但是在这么短暂的时间内大面积的运用这个技术来扭转世界性的能源短缺的现状,代价似乎过于昂贵。
要想在短期内解决我国的能源危机,就需要贯穿美国,建立众多太阳能电站,利用太阳光来制造蒸汽,启动蒸汽涡轮发电机,生产电能。太阳光将代替煤、石油和天然气,这些目前发电厂用来发电的资源。这些发电厂为美国供应了80%电力。
在美国的任何地方,太阳能发电厂的建立往往能立见其效(五年内),他们可以生产热能、电能还有氢气。分解二氧化碳,利用氢气、甲烷(天然气)以及甲醇(类油物)可以大量的生产能源。这其实可以扭转全球变暖的现状,还可以为运输和工业提供所需的能源。
建筑物取暖和水需求占据了国家能源需求的三分之一。通过利用廉价的太阳能资源,这些需求都可以“便宜的”得到满足。风力、水利水电和海洋波能都是类似于太阳能的环保资源。他们也会不断的得到发展和推广的。
为太阳能产业充分开发和部署一系列的制造、建筑、交通和维护企业的发展,这将给美国今后的10到15年的发展提供20,000,000美元到50,000,000美元的工作岗位,为我们国家提供一个安全可靠的保障。而美国也将再次进入经济蓬勃发展的时代,成为一个能源净出口国。这才是真正的经济安全!
正因为考虑到这些,那些新进的风险资本家开始投资于(1月31日/PRNewswire银路财经网/风险资本家开始大量投资绿色产业)发展世界的真正的、实用的、安全的、环保的和可发展的替代能源。
真理就是,太阳能是未来唯一的最实用的可替代能源!
James Flaherty 2月16日,2008,8:41 AM
-
SWOT分析法
SWOT 分析法 优势(Strengths)、劣势(Weaknesses)、机会(Opportunities)、威胁(Threats) SWOT分析法是一种用于检测公司运营与公司环境的工具。这是编制...
-
高级SWOT分析法
高级SWOT分析法 Marketing Teacher教您如何运用SWOT分析法 为什么需要运用高级SWOT分析法? SWOT分析法是通过分析优势、劣势、机会与威胁来监测公司的市场营销方法。我们的导...
-
《长尾(The Long Tail)》的完整中译版
自从2004年10月发表以来,Chris Anderson的经典文章《长尾》一直在深刻地影响着全球各地互联网业的发展。他所提出的推动型模式与拉动型模式的结合,广泛性与个性化的统一,已经成为网络产品设计...
-
十亿消费者
十亿消费者——来自中国商界第一线的经验 作者:James McGregor 翻译:白痴年代 前言 这原本是从北京飞往沿海城市福州的一次常规飞行。航空公司是一家新成立的国有公司,飞机也是新进...
-
长尾全译 PDF 下载
欢迎您来下载《长尾(译言版中译)》的PDF文件。这是Chris Anderson最初在《连线》杂志发表的《长尾》原文的中译版。我们有下列几个版本供您选择下载或阅读。 *译言长尾中译PDF版(拙尘制作...
-
十亿消费者 - 开篇:是开端亦是转折
开篇:是开端亦是转折 一只脚尚驻在过去,一只脚已踏入未来——中国是全世界最盛大的开端,也是最伟大的转折。 我认为在一片西装的海洋中穿一身京剧行头会吸引人们的注意。 当时是在纽约世界金融中心的...
-
什么是商业模式
商业模式这个话题在现在的市场竞争中已经变得越来越重要。依靠引入新的商业模式来保持持续的变革和创新能力对于企业在快速变化的商业环境中存活并发展是极其重要的。对于目前的商业环境来说,商业模式是一种非常好...
-
十亿消费者-第一章:庄严的谈判(2)
【版权声明:文章所有的版权,归于作者本人和有关出版社。本翻译仅为个人兴趣,供大家阅读交流,有兴趣的可以阅读原著,如果发现有翻译不准确或者错误,欢迎指正。任何商业媒体,不得转载。个人转载,请与我联系。 ...
标签:

人们眼中的经济大国
翻译:
Comments
The True Cause Of The United States' Economic Downturn
Energy flows one direction and money flows in the other. In the modern world economy it is energy, not gold that gives paper money it's real value. Paper money is a trust certificate that says to both bearer and recipient : 'I am exchangeable for some amount of energy.' Everybody agrees to this principle, therefore paper money is valuable.
It is not just a coincidence that when the cost of energy was at it's recent all time low during the 1990's, the economy was booming. American paper money was more exchangeable for oil and other forms of energy than it is now. Because there is a serious developing worldwide energy shortage, primarily a shortage of oil, America is going to have to spends more and more of it's paper trust certificates for less and less energy from now on. Every American should think long and hard about this and understand that it is the high cost of energy that is tearing the economy to shreds.
The price of all energy has increased several times it's 2000 value because the world's economically developable oil reserves are shrinking at three percent a year. There is simply no way to reverse this trend, because most of the world's large oil fields have been found and the discovery rate of these types of reserves has been shrinking since 1963. Inexpensive oil has been, for the last hundred years, the country's most important energy source, but now it is beginning to run out. Because of this, the United States is just now entering a chronic economic decline, caused by the skyrocketing energy prices. If nothing is done to replace the disappearing, inexpensive oil and it must be done very quickly and on a truly massive scale, then the U.S. will go into terminal economic decline. America, take note! This is not hyperbole. These are the hard cold facts about the economic future of the United States of America.
Because energy is the bedrock of all modern economies, it stands to reason that founding our financial system on inexpensive, inexhaustible, and clean solar energy is the best coarse of action for the United States and the World. And we only have about 5 to 8 years in which to turn this into reality before the economic decline becomes the worlds worst depression.
Really big solar energy development, and as fast as possible, is the only real cure for the present economic downturn in the U.S. and the only safe and long term solution for the world's energy needs.
Solar panels that produce electricity are the permanent long term solution (over the next fifty years), but they are too expensive to be deployed on the required scale and in the limited time available to reverse the world's developing energy shortage.
The short term solution to our country's developing energy crisis is to build thousands of solar thermal power plants across the U.S. Solar thermal power plants can use the sun's light, to make steam, to power steam turbine generators, to produce electricity. The sun's light would replace the coal, oil, and gas that is presently being used to fire the power plants that now provide 80% of the electricity in the U.S.
Solar thermal power plants could be built profitably and quickly (within five years), almost anywhere in the U.S. They can produce heat, electricity, and hydrogen. Using sequestered CO2, and the hydrogen from these plants, methane (natural gas), and methanol (an excellent gasoline analog) can be produced in huge quantities. This would actually reverse global warming gas emissions, while providing all the transportation and industrial fuels needed.
Heating buildings and water requires fully one third of the energy used in the country. This can all be done inexpensively with low temperature solar energy at the points of use. Wind, hydro-electric, and ocean wave energy are all really tertiary forms of solar energy. Their development and wide spread use should also be increased as fast as practical.
Fully developing and deploying the needed manufacturing, construction, transportation and maintenance businesses for a mature solar energy industry in the United States would provide twenty to fifty million high paying, non-exportable jobs over the next ten to fifteen years and it would provide real security for our nation. And the U.S. economy would once more begin to boom as the country again, becomes a net energy exporter. Talk about real economic security!
With these things in mind, it is no surprise that Johnny-come-lately Venture Capitalist's have recently begun to put their money (Jan. 31 /PRNewswire/ -- Venture capitalists will largely direct their investments to the greentech ...) into developing the world's one true, practical, safe, clean and scalable alternative-energy source.
Truth be told, solar energy isn't just the most practical alternative energy source for the future, it's the only practical energy source for the future!