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建议 The Danger of Free
The Danger of Free
Everyone loves to get stuff for free. We line up to get a free drink, we sign up for free checking accounts, and we're happy to get a free gift with the purchase of our next car. We love free stuff, even though we all know and understand that free is an illusion. After that free drink, we pay for the next three. The bank is making money by investing what we put in that checking account. The car dealer can afford to give away a small gift because the profit on the car is large. But none of this seems to bother us - free things still have a certain allure. But is the concept of free taking us down a dangerous road?
Marketers long ago figured out the attractiveness of free. For decades companies have been playing tricks using free to lure naive customers. But recently, our obsession with free has given rise to a new phenomenon - where the customer is never asked to pay. How? Because the business makes their money on advertising. Marketers are happy to pay for access to customers, who in turn love not having to pay. So the web plays the glorious role of middle man.
Are we heading into dangerous territory? The paths that we are taking lead to confused customers at best; and monopolistic practices at worst. A culture where consumers think that increasingly more and more services should be free is not healthy.
Does Free Make Sense?
Most online consumer services today are free. That is, people pay nothing to use them and the services make money via advertising. The logic is that the more people who use the service, the more page views they generate and the more ads they are shown - so the happier the advertisers. On the surface this makes sense. After all, newspaper advertising has generally worked this way as well. Well, not quite. Top-shelf papers like New York Times, are not free - you need to pay to get them.
The classic newspaper business is both a subscription service and advertising supported. Subscriptions provide a solid base, and grow if the publication is interesting. Ads are then sold door-to-door by a salesperson with a with a fat rolodex and phenomenal commissions.
But this classic model is no more. In the brave new world, subscription fees are gone and the salespeople are replaced by CPM advertising engines. The problem is, things are just not that simple. When the economy is bad (think 2008), then advertising is the first to be cut. Now if your sole revenue source is advertising, then your revenue gets hit hard. The traditional subscriber base, which helps companies navigate through the economic downturns, is just not there, because it is no longer cool to charge people for the service.
The second problem is, of course, Google. The whole beauty of online advertising is that it is trackable - ROI is easily measured. Google's pay-per-click model (CPC) is far superior to the traditional impressions based (CPM) model. But how many other companies can mimic that? Can the New York Times sell CPC advertising? That remains to be seen. And Facebook is yet to prove itself in that game as well. Getting people to click on ads is still a rocket science on the web.
When Free is Dirty
While it is not clear that a lot of businesses in an economy can be supported only by advertising, we already know that free can be a powerful weapon in the hands of big companies. Consider this recent example: IBM used free to practically destroy the Java software tools market. One day, someone at IBM was likely sitting around and thinking about how to sell more of the company's Blade servers. In a single eureka moment he figured out that by giving away the integrated development environment (IDE), IBM could kill its competition, open all doors, and sell its most expensive product.
Eclipse and the surrounding set of tools for debugging, testing and profiling Java code are not great. But they are good enough because they are free. Companies could no longer justify paying for products from, for example, Borland and as a result, IBM's strategy worked beautifully. All of this was executed over the course of just a few years, under the mantra of open source, so practically no one could see IBM's ploy. The sad consequence of IBM's victory is a lack of innovation in the software tools space. After all, who wants to compete with free?
From Free to an Empire
Of course, IBM is not the only big company that discovered the power of free. The king of the web, Google has been expanding its sphere of influence using exactly the same strategy. In a stroke of brilliance, Google made their web's best search algorithm free to consumers, by supporting their search engine with advertising. Elegant and fair, we all get access to the world's information for free. Thanks!
The next move, is slightly less elegant, but still legitimate - GMail. Google wanted us to have better and simpler email. The solution was to deliver it with advertising. It is strange to see ads next to our email, but we learned to ignore them just so that we can use the software. Fine.
But the next move - Google Office - is unfair. In its endless quest to organize the world's information, Google is also looking to kill off its archrival Microsoft. Just like Microsoft is going after search, Google is after one of Microsoft's juiciest markets - Office. And to play, Google is giving it away for free. Well, almost. For consumers, Google's online office software is free, and for businesses, they have made the software so cheap that it is practically free (Google can't make enterprise tools completely free because companies would freak out).
The point is that Google can afford to give away everything for free because of its success with search. This is being done openly now and it is just plain wrong. It is a dangerous poker game, where Google can raise stakes because it has a huge pile of cash. What happened to fair competition and not being evil? This is an evil way to break into the market. Of course, we all prefer the light Google Docs to Microsoft's heavy desktop software. This is not the point. The issue is that this kind of free is absurd. If Google wanted to break into eCommerce, it could afford to put Amazon out of the book business by giving away free books. How would we react to that?
Generation Free
Sadly, a lot of people would probably see free books from Google as a great thing. After all, as a society, we now expect information to be free, so it wouldn't be a leap to have free books as well. This is a misleading point of view, but it is spreading. We are raising a generation of kids who do not want to pay monthly subscriptions for anything. Give me stuff for free and stick some advertising on it.
This is also dangerous for another reason. Teens are growing up with not only a sense of expectation of free, but sense of entitlement to free. Of course my social network is free! But why? The phone is not free, television is not free, clothing, food, house - everything else is not free. Is this not a paradox?
Just a few decades ago, people had low expectations and worked hard to make living. They did not know free and never expected it. Now, the opposite trend is happening, with free becoming expected online. Will the new generation, the one that expects something for nothing, work as hard to maintain the high standards of living that we created?
Conclusion
The bottom line is there is no free lunch. When you go on vacation and see a sign that says Free Lunch you know that the timeshare sales pitch is going to accompany it. The free on the web is not free either. We are receiving the services in exchange for our time and attention, in exchange for the opportunity to be advertised to.
Yet, there is a lot complexity surrounding the issue. From the effectiveness of advertising to monopolistic market plays, free is making a lot of people nervous. The libraries are free because we pay taxes, but Microsoft Office is not free and probably should not be free.
Do you see this as an issue? This is an interesting topic and we would love to see the debate here on ReadWriteWeb! Sound off in the comments below.
警惕免费的午餐!
每个人都喜欢免费的东东。免费的可乐,免费的支票账户,买小汽车送的免费礼物。我们太爱这些东东了,即使我们清楚这种免费可能是暂时的,以后总要付出代价。喝了免费的可乐,接下来就可能会买上一两瓶;银行当然不是傻瓜,让我们免费开户是为了拿我们的存款去投资;汽车销售员很大方地送给我们礼物,是因为相对于一部汽车,这些小礼物是九牛一毛啦。但这些并不妨碍我们去拿免费的东东,免费对我们来说仍有巨大的诱惑。但是,免费真的是我们的福祉吗?
销售人员很早就掌握了免费的吸引力法则。几十年前,公司经常用这些小伎俩欺骗一些幼稚的客户。但最近以来,一些免费现象又让我们产生了困惑,作为消费者,有些免费的东东并没有要我们付出什么啊?其实,道理很简单,因为商家在打着 “免费”的旗号做广告:免费即可以吸引消费者又可以让我们不必为自己喜欢的东西买单。在互联网盛行的今天,网络广告能大行其道正是基于此理。
难道我们被商家忽悠了?说实话,有免费的东东应该知足了,想想如果是市场垄断了,我们就别无选择了。但反过来说,你若是指望越来越多的服务应当免费提供,老兄,这就有点得寸进尺了。
免费:举而不坚
今天的在线广告使越来越多的消费者走进了“免费享用”的行列。在线广告的逻辑在于,使用在线免费服务的人越多,流量就越大,广告效果也就越好,同时广告主也就越开心。表面上看,这的确有道理。毕竟,所有的报纸都是按这个游戏规则来玩的。当然,说完全按此运作可能不太确切,其实很多顶级报纸杂志都要花钱买的,像纽约时报等。
传统的报纸都是靠两条腿走路的:订阅和广告。订阅量是基础,它是基于出版物的价值而增加的;广告量则是靠销售人员凭三寸不烂之舌而忽悠上去的。
但目前这种经典的模式将逐渐成为明日黄花。很明显,在网络时代,看纸媒的人越来越少,于是订阅费乃是江河日下;搜索引擎上的竞价排名也使那些销售人员的嘴无用武之地了。但是问题在于,当经济衰退时,广告支出就会首当其冲地被削减。如果公司销售收入的唯一来源是广告的话,那么麻烦就大了。而传统的征订费却能帮公司暂时度过难关。所以,从某种意义上讲,广告是靠不住的。
另外,大家知道,谷歌最强大的莫过于其可以“追踪”的广告平台。因为,谷歌的按点击付费比传统的按印象付费科学多了。Facebook也是通过这套规则生存的:吸引用户点击广告是网站生存的不二法门。但是,其它多少传媒公司可以效仿呢?纽约时报可以卖“按点击付费”吗?至少目前行不通。
(目前形势不容乐观,前一段时间传出Facebook的 广告模式因没得到广告主的青睐而收益大减。没了广告收入,大多数网站都玩不转的,那时候你想要的免费东东也就成了竹篮打水一场空了。)
免费帝国主义
网络霸主谷歌正打着免费的牌不断向四周扩张。谷歌通过竞价排名系统开放了强大的搜索引擎,于是我们搜索信息时就用不用付费了;通过传统精准的广告投递开放了其Gmail邮箱系统,我们有了免费的邮箱;还有谷歌即时通信,在线办公软件,RSS等等,统统免费,很好很强大!
其实谷歌可以做到使一切都免费,因为它的搜索引擎太强悍了。对于广告主,谷歌完全可以提高价码,因为它有巨大的“蛋糕”。那么问题来了,我们倡导的公平竞争和“和谐社会”就会面目全非了。如果谷歌想进入电子商务领域,它通过提供免费的图书就能把亚马逊的图书部门置于死地。我们该如何反应?
免费一代
可悲的是,很多人可能认为谷歌的“免费图书计划”是个好事。因为我们已经习惯了,我们期望信息是免费的,当然图书也不例外。没想到持这种想法的居然大有人在,真是令人担忧:我们的下一代想读书时,他们会说“拿过来,在上面贴上广告就可以不付钱了吧?”
另外,“免费”会传递另外一个危险的信号。年轻一代不仅认为免费是正常的,而且还会认为理应免费。我的博客啊,社交网站啊当然应该免费啦。为什么电话不免费,电视需要花钱买啊?为什么衣服,食物,还有房子这些东东都要花钱的啊,真是奇怪了?
就在几十年前,人们没有什么高的期望并且努力工作以养家。他们不知道免费也从不期望免费。现在可好了,免费大行于世蔚然成风。那下一代呢?他们总是期望可以不付出什么代价去得到一些东西,问题在于他们能够努力工作以维持如此高的生活水准吗?
警惕啊人们
仍要谨记天下没有免费的午餐。当你在旅途中看到广告牌上写上“供应免费午餐”时,你应该清楚这个势必要你付出时间代价的。网上免费的东东其实也是同样道理。我们收到的免费服务需要付出时间和精力,还有被广告强奸的机会。
当然,除此之外,还有很多复杂的个案。从广告效应到市场垄断,免费搞得大家神经兮兮。图书馆是免费的,因为我们纳税了;Office软件不免费因为它不应当免费。
译注:译者对原文有些许删减改动,若有曲解,敬请指点。
